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Models of Injury Occurrence, Prevention and Prediction

              • modifying or adapting the vector (e.g., improving equipment stan-
                dards or enforcing protective requirements); and
              • improving the environment through safer surfaces, better training
                organisation, qualified supervision, and rule modifications.

              From a practical perspective, however, the epidemiological model al-
            so has important limitations. Although highly useful for identifying direct
            injury mechanisms, it places relatively limited emphasis on broader or-
            ganisational and systemic influences such as coaching philosophy, long-
            term athlete management, seasonal training load accumulation, institu-
            tional culture, or communication structures within sport organisations
            (Bilban, 2014). These factors are particularly relevant in wrestling and
            combat sports, where injury risk often emerges cumulatively through re-
            peated exposure and training behaviours rather than through isolated in-
            cidents alone.
              This limitation is partly addressed through the development of more
            comprehensive frameworks, particularly Haddon’s phase-factor matrix,
            which expands the epidemiological perspective by incorporating tempo-
            ral and contextual dimensions of injury prevention.
            Haddon’s Phase-Factor Matrix of Injury Prevention
            Haddon’s phase-factor matrix extends the epidemiological model by in-
            troducing an explicit temporal dimension to injury occurrence and pre-
            vention. Rather than viewing injury as a single isolated event, the model
            conceptualises injury as a process unfolding across different stages, each
            of which offers opportunities for preventive intervention (Haddon, 1980).
              The matrix distinguishes three temporal phases:
              • Pre-Event phase – the period before injury occurrence, involving fac-
                tors that influence whether the injury event will occur at all;
              • Event phase – the injury event itself, characterised by the transfer of
                energy to the host; and
              • Post-Event phase – the period following injury occurrence, includ-
                ing emergency response, medical management, rehabilitation, and
                long-term consequences.

              These temporal phases are then combined with the four groups of epi-
            demiological factors – host, agent, vector, and environment – which in-
            teract throughout the injury process. The resulting matrix creates a mul-
            tidimensional framework in which each cell represents a potential pre-
            ventive strategy or intervention point (Bilban, 2014).

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