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                Models of Injury Occurrence,

                Prevention and Prediction
                Marina Dobnik

                        © 2026 Marina Dobnik
                https://doi.org/10.26493/978-961-293-570-2.4




            Introduction
            Injury risk is an inherent aspect of sport participation; however, in many
            sports, it represents a major constraint on athlete development, perfor-
            mance progression, and sustained training continuity. Beyond merely
            counting injury occurrences, contemporary sports-injury research in-
            creasingly emphasises injury severity and injury burden – such as time
            loss, reduced participation, and long-term functional consequences – as
            key indicators for prioritising prevention strategies (Kisser & Bauer, 2012;
            Verhagen et al., 2024). In accordance with dynamic models of sports-
            injury aetiology, injury risk is understood as a time-varying phenomenon
            that reflects the interaction between changing athlete susceptibility and
            repeated exposure to training and competition demands, rather than iso-
            lated random events (Drew & Finch, 2016; Gabbett, 2016; Meeuwisse et
            al., 2007).
              From an aetiological perspective, sports injuries rarely arise from a sin-
            gle direct cause. Instead, they typically emerge through complex interac-
            tions between internal factors (e.g., previous injury history, physical ca-
            pacity, neuromuscular control, and fatigue), external factors (e.g., rules,
            equipment, environmental conditions, and training context), and a spe-
            cific inciting event. Understanding how injury mechanisms develop and
            interact is therefore a prerequisite for designing preventive strategies that
            extend beyond generic recommendations or checklist-based approach-
            es (Bahr & Krosshaug, 2005). In wrestling and other combat sports, this
            mechanism-oriented perspective is particularly important because in-
            juries frequently occur during high-load, opponent-dependent actions
            – such as takedowns, throws, and grip fighting – where technique exe-



                Plevnik, M., & Dobnik, M. (2026). Safe wrestling.
                University of Primorska Press.
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